Sunday, August 8, 2021

09 August 2021 Foreign

             WTI Crude, Gold, HSI, Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq


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E-Mini Dow

The Dow and the S&P 500 indexes closed at record highs on Friday following a stronger-than-expected jobs report, while investors shrugged off concerns over the Delta variant impacting a nascent economic recovery.

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Plan A : Remain buy as long as market trades firmly above 34909. Targets are 35146 and 35338.

Plan B : Consider short only if market surges but fails to breach above 35146. Targets are 35000 and 34909.



E-Mini S&P 500

Stocks tied to the economic recovery rose after a stronger-than-expected jobs report on Friday, sending two key market averages to all-time highs.

The S&P 500 rose nearly 0.2% to clinch its own record close at 4,436.52.

Friday's jobs report showed that the U.S. economy added 943,000 jobs in July, according to the Labor Department. Economists expected the economy to have added 845,000 jobs last month, according to estimates from Dow Jones. The unemployment rate dropped to 5.4%, below the estimate of 5.7%.

So far, 89% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported earnings this quarter, and 87% of those have beaten earnings expectations, according to FactSet. That is on track to be the best quarter for earnings surprises since at least 2008.

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Plan A : Long if market supported firm above 4426. Targets are 4437, 4448 and 4459.

Plan B : Short if market failed to support above 4426. Targets are 4410, 4395 and 4376.



E-Mini Nasdaq

Stock futures traded lower early Monday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a record close Friday following a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

U.S. senators reconvened Sunday to work toward the passage of a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, a top political priority of President Joe Biden. The Senate is slated to hold another key procedural vote late Sunday and vote on final passage Tuesday. The bipartisan package is expected to have sufficient Republican support to pass in the Senate and move to the House for consideration in September.

The Nasdaq Composite bucked the trend, dipping 0.4% to 14,835.76. 

The signs of a strong economic recovery could prompt the Federal Reserve to pull back its monetary support measures and prepare to begin tapering its bond-buying program.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note jumped as high as 1.3% after the better-than-expected jobs report. The 10-year yield this summer has pulled back significantly from its highs in March, when it neared 1.8%.

Meanwhile, technology stocks retreated after the jump in rates. Rising rates discount the value of future earnings and therefore can hit growth stocks like technology names particularly hard.

Investors are awaiting key inflation data scheduled for release this week. The consumer price index and the producer price index are scheduled to come out Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

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Plan A : Long if market supported firm above 15092. Targets are 15123, 15159 and 15188.

Plan B : Short if market failed to support above 15092. Targets are 15049, 15009 and 14965.



HSI

Hong Kong's HSI closed lower on Friday, hit by concerns over tightening government regulations and rising COVID-19 cases in China, even as southbound inflows from mainland investors offered support.

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Plan A : Attempt sell if market stays below 26260. Targets are 25940 and 25742.

Plan B : Consider long only if market trades firmly above 25940 and rebound. Targets are 26114 and 26260.



WTI Crude

Oil prices fell about 1% lower on Friday, posting to their steepest weekly losses in months, on worries that travel restrictions to curb the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 will derail the global recovery in energy demand.

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Plan A : Remain sell as long as oil price stays below 67.8. Targets are 66.3 and 65.1.

Plan B : Consider buy if oil prices holds resiliently above 66.3 and rebound. Targets are 67.8 and 69.0.



Gold

Gold slid to its lowest in over a month on Friday after a strong U.S. jobs report boosted expectations the Federal Reserve could begin tapering its economic support sooner than previously anticipated.

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Plan A : Remain sell as long as gold price stays below 1766.1. Targets are 1730.6 and 1673.3.

Plan B : Consider long only if gold price holds firmly above 1673.3 and rebound. Targets are 1723 and 1730.6.



Disclaimer: This information is intended to assist professional investors. News are credit courtesy of Reuters, Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, CNN, Market Watch, FT.com, the Star online, forbes.com, mining.com and CNBC. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to invest or to provide management services and is subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice.As with all investments, there are associated risks and you could lose money investing. Prior to making any investment, a prospective investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to evaluate independently the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment.

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