14 February 2025 Global Index Futures

  Crude, Gold, Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq

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E-Mini Dow

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% to 44,711.43.

A rally in U.S. stocks and bonds looked counterintuitive after PPI headlines appeared to be the second hot inflation read this week, but, under the hood, key components looked more like they were moving the direction the Fed and Wall Street want.

But even while investors in New York markets lifted the S&P 500 a percent and the Nasdaq more than that on Thursday, continued gains on Asia bourses Friday are hardly assured, given the challenge of navigating the twists and turns from President Donald Trump as he pushes for a peace deal in Ukraine while setting up for a global trade war.

The prospect of Russia-Ukraine peace talks helped foster the risk-on mood in stocks, while the inflation news with potential dovish implications for Fed officials reversed Wednesday's bond slump and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell almost 10 basis points to around 4.53%.

(News Source: Reuters)

Plan A: Long only if market retraced but supported firm above 44,751. Targets around 44,960/45,175.

Plan B: Sell only if market retraced and failed to support above 44,532. Targets around 44,220 /44,012.

E-Mini S&P500

The S&P 500 ended higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia, Apple and Tesla, after US President Donald Trump unveiled a roadmap for charging reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners.

The S&P 500 climbed 1% to 6,115.07. All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 finished in positive territory, along with all but a few of stocks in the Dow Index.

A White House official said the tariffs would match the higher duties charged by other countries and could be imposed within weeks as Trump’s trade and economic team studies bilateral tariff and trade relationships.

Stocks also gained after data showed US producer prices increased in January, while key elements in the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a measure closely tracked by the US Federal Reserve, were benign or lower. 

(News Source: FreeMalaysiaToday)

Plan A: Short if prices failed to support above 6,146. Targets around 6,068 /6,004.

Plan B: Long only if prices retraced but well supported above 6,098. Targets around 6,146/6,163.

E-Mini Nasdaq

Wall Street stocks finished higher on Thursday, shrugging off disappointing inflation data and gaining ground after President Trump held off on concrete new tariffs for now.

Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 1.5%.

Trump unveiled a "fair and reciprocal plan" for trade, ordering reports to address what he described as "unfair" conduct by trading partners, a step towards potentially wide-ranging tariffs on allies and competitors.

(News Source: Businesstimes)

Plan A: Short if prices failed to support above 22,087. Targets are 21,897/21,370.  Place a reasonable stop order based on the assessment of the risk and reward ratio.

Plan B: Long only if market retraced but supported firm above 21,897. Targets are 22,109/22,427. Place a reasonable stop order based on the assessment of the risk and reward ratio.

WTI Crude Oil

WTI crude oil futures rose to around $71.4 per barrel on Friday, supported by rising fuel demand and a delay in U.S. tariff plans. JPMorgan reported global oil demand surged to 103.4 million barrels per day in February, a 1.4 million bpd year-over-year increase.

Additionally, President Donald Trump on Thursday signed his plan for reciprocal tariffs but delayed their implementation to allow for negotiations with affected nations, giving more time to avoid a trade war. However, gains were limited by prospects of lower supply risks and speculation over a potential easing of restrictions on Russian producers after Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to talks to end the war in Ukraine.

A rise in crude oil inventories in the U.S., the largest crude consumer, also weighed on the market. Still, crude is
on track to post a slight gain this week, the first since mid-January.

(News Source: Tradingeconomics)

Plan A: Consider short if market rebounded but failed to support above 72.29. Targets are 71.64/70.22.

Plan B: Long only if prices retraced but supported firm above 71.06. Targets are 71.68/72.29.

Gold

Gold held firm at $2,930 per ounce on Friday, heading toward a seventh consecutive weekly gain, as U.S. tariff policies continued to drive safe-haven demand.

President Trump on Thursday ordered federal agencies to explore how to adjust U.S. tariffs to match those of other countries without imposing the tariffs immediately. Despite the delay, the move raised concerns over a potential escalation in global trade tensions, bolstering demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

On the economic data front, the U.S. producer inflation data came in stronger than expected, following a hot consumer inflation report on Wednesday. This reinforced the view that the Federal Reserve would not be cutting interest rates in the near term. Still, the precious metal remained resilient, supported by ongoing trade war uncertainties. A weaker dollar also supported the bullion, making it more affordable for foreign buyers.

(News Source: Tradingeconomics)

Plan A: Consider long only if market retraced but supported firm above 2,935. Targets at 2,949/2,964.

Plan B: Short if market prices failed to support above 2,935. Targets are 2,910/2,880.

Disclaimer: This information is intended to assist professional investors. News are credit courtesy of Reuters, Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, CNN, Market Watch, FT.com, the Star online, forbes.com, mining.com and CNBC. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to invest or to provide management services and is subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice.As with all investments, there are associated risks and you could lose money investing. Prior to making any investment, a prospective investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to evaluate independently the risks, consequences and suitability of the investment.