WTI Crude, Gold, HSI, Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq
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E-Mini Dow
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Thursday as the 10-year Treasury tumbled below 4% and a surprise gain in retail sales gave investors further confidence 2024 would bring a soft economic landing.
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Plan A: Remain long as long as market trades above 36718. Targets are 37304 and 37695.
Plan B: Consider short if market stays below 36718. Targets are 36523 and 36328.
E-Mini S&P 500
The S&P 500 added 0.26% to end the day at 4,719.55.
The 10-year Treasury note yield dropped below 4% for the first time since August as traders mounted bets on rate cuts for 2024. The move lower in interest rates follows the Dow’s more than 1% jump on Wednesday to reach a record high above 37,000 after the Federal Open Market Committee indicated it may cut rates three times next year.
The S&P could soon join the Dow in record territory, as the index is less than 1.6% away from reaching its all-time close set in January of 2022. The Nasdaq is about 8% away from its closing record and roughly 9% further to go to reach its intraday record.
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Plan A: Long if market supported firm above 4720. Targets are 4740 and 4760.
Plan B: Short if market failed to support above 4720. Targets are 4700 and 4792.
E-Mini Nasdaq
The 30-stock Dow closed at a record high, ending the day up 158 points, or 0.43% at 37,248.35. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.19% to 14,761.56.
Solar stocks ticked higher as yields fell. The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) climbed more than 8.1%, with constituents SunRun and Enphase gaining 20% and 12%, respectively. Shares of Moderna climbed 9.3% after trial data showed its experimental cancer vaccine reduced the risk of death or reoccurrence when used alongside Merck’s Keytruda.
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Plan A: Long if market retraced but supported firm above 16870. Targets are 16900 and 16926.
Plan B: Short if market fall below 16870. Target are 16825 and 16799
HSI
Hong Kong’s corporate governance ranking in Asia tumbled to the lowest level in decades, falling behind those of Japan and Singapore, amid concerns about the deterioration of minority shareholder rights and the independence of the judiciary in the city, according to a research report.
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Plan A: Remain long if the market stays above 16172. Targets are 16484 and 16563.
Plan B: Consider short only if the market stays below 16172. Targets are 16094 and 16016.
WTI Crude
Oil prices rose 3% on Thursday, extending the previous session's gains, boosted by a weaker dollar and as the International Energy Agency (IEA) lifted its oil demand forecast for next year.
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Plan A: Remain long as long as oil price stays above 68.75. Targets are 70.31 and 71.09.
Plan B: Consider short only if oil price stays above 68.75. Targets are 68.36 and 67.58.
Gold
Gold prices touched a 10-day high on Thursday as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields slipped after the Federal Reserve signalled an end to its monetary policy tightening cycle.
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Plan A: Remain long as long as gold price stays above 2000. Targets are 2046.87 and 2054.68.
Plan B: Attempts short only if gold price stays below 2000. Targets are 1992.18 and 1976.56.
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