Sunday, February 13, 2022

14 February 2022 Foreign

            WTI Crude, Gold, HSI, Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq


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E-Mini Dow


Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Friday for the second straight session, as investors fretted about deepening tensions between Russia and Ukraine.

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Plan A: Remain short as long as market stays below 34910. Targets are 34511 and 34316.

Plan B: Consider long if market holds firm above 34511 and rebound. Targets are 34711 and 34910.




E-Mini S&P 500

Stocks slid on Friday as increased tensions between Ukraine and Russia sent oil spiking and led investors to dump risky assets like equities.

Stocks moved sharply lower in afternoon trading after a jump in oil prices that appeared to be tied to increased concerns about Russia taking military action against Ukraine.

In the bond market, Treasury yields sank after the Ukraine news. The 10-year yield, which broke above 2% on Thursday for the first time since 2019, fell back to about 1.92% on Friday. Yields move opposite of price.

This week’s volatility in the bond market started after a hotter-than-expected inflation reading on Thursday, which prompted St. Louis Fed President James Bullard to call for accelerating rate hikes — a full percentage point increase by the start of July.

Goldman Sachs shifted its expectations for the Fed this year, calling for seven rate hikes in an effort to cool an economy that has generated inflation far more persistent than policymakers had anticipated.

The VanEck Russia ETF fell more than 7%, suggesting that the sell-off in the U.S. could spread to overseas stocks next week. The Russian Ruble also sank against the U.S. dollar.

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Plan A: Long if market supported firmly above 4417. Targets are 4427, 4432 and 4449.

Plan B: Short only if the market failed to support above 4417. Targets are 4408, 4391 and 4388.



E-Mini Nasdaq

Stock futures were higher early Monday morning as investors continued to monitor the developing tensions between Ukraine and Russia and potential Fed rate hikes.

Traders are also weighing the potential impact of surging inflation on the U.S. economy, as well as the potential measures the Federal Reserve could take to quell the jump in prices.

Rate-sensitive tech stocks were hit hard by the report, which briefly sent the 10-year Treasury yield above 2% — the first time since 2019 that the 10-year traded above that level.

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Plan A: Long if the market supported firmly above 14239. Targets are 14262, 14296 and 14327.

Plan B: Short if market failed to support above 14239. Targets are 14203, 14174 and 14148.




HSI

China and Hong Kong stocks rose on Friday, as data showed faster credit growth in January with monetary authorities pushing to bolster the economy, but bets of more aggressive U.S. interest rate hikes after red-hot inflation data capped gains.

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Plan A: Remain short as long as market trades below 24833. Targets are 24565 and 24296.

Plan B: Consider long if market falls but supports well above 24565. Targets are 24725 and 24833.


WTI Crude

Oil prices jumped in afternoon trading Friday amid escalating tensions between Ukraine and Russia.

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Plan A: Remain buy as long as oil price stays firm above 93.5. Targets are 94.5 and 95.0.

Plan B : Consider short if oil price surges but fails to breach above 95.0. Targets are 94.5 and 94.0.



Gold

Gold prices jumped on Friday to a near two-month peak as concerns over surging inflation and escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine lifted demand for the safe-haven metal.

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Plan A: Remain buy as long as gold price stays firm above 1841.3. Targets are 1867 and 1880.


Plan B: Consider short if gold price fails to hold firm above 1856.1. Targets are 1841.3 and 1829.4.


Disclaimer: This information is intended to assist professional investors. News are credit courtesy of Reuters, Nasdaq.com, Bloomberg, CNN, Market Watch, FT.com, the Star online, forbes.com, mining.com and CNBC. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to invest or to provide management services and is subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice.As with all investments, there are associated risks and you could lose money investing. Prior to making any investment, a prospective investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to evaluate independently the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment.     



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